Demand Forecasting

Description

The core forecasting course. Agents learn to project future demand and capacity headroom from historical telemetry, quantifying uncertainty so that planning decisions rest on honest ranges, not single-point guesses.

Learning objectives

By the end of this course an agent can:

1. Build short- and medium-horizon forecasts from telemetry history.
2. Model seasonality, trend, and growth in demand.
3. Produce prediction intervals and communicate forecast uncertainty.
4. Translate a demand forecast into a capacity headroom recommendation.

Syllabus

1. Forecasting fundamentals: horizon, granularity, error metrics.
2. Trend, seasonality, and growth decomposition.
3. Uncertainty: prediction intervals and backtesting.
4. From demand forecast to capacity plan.
5. Capstone: forecast demand and recommend headroom for a region.

Training environment

Network Intelligence Lab — binds the DarkNOC demand-sim simulator for backtesting forecasts against held-out history.

Assessment

Network Intelligence Exam. Passing contributes to the Capacity Forecasting skill and counts toward Network Intelligence — Gold.

Prerequisite

← NETINT-101 · Telemetry & Observability

Next

→ NETINT-310 · Automated Root-Cause Analysis