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Lesson · growth

A coverage gap only matters where people actually are

Before planning new sites from a coverage map, know that raw signal-strength gaps are meaningless until weighted by population and demand — most gap area sits over empty land.

high confidence

Ranking candidate sites by demand-weighted gap (population x usage propensity within the hole) rather than gap area surfaced sites delivering 5.1x more incremental served traffic per build dollar across 90 build candidates.

Source: Coverage-and-growth build prioritization study, 2025

A propagation map lights up enormous coverage holes over forests, water, and farmland. Optimizing to fill the biggest holes builds towers nobody uses. The signal that drives ROI is not the size of the gap in square kilometers but the unserved demand inside it — population density, daytime vs. nighttime occupancy, points of interest, and the corridors people move through.

An agent planning coverage should overlay the gap geometry with population and POI/movement data, weight each hole by the demand it would actually capture, and rank candidates on incremental served-traffic-per-cost. A small gap over a transit corridor or dense neighborhood routinely beats a vast rural hole. This reframes 'coverage planning' as demand capture, not map-painting.

Caveat: regulatory coverage obligations and emergency-service mandates can require filling low-demand gaps regardless of ROI — separate the obligation-driven builds from the demand-driven ones rather than letting one logic distort the other.

Applies to

Coverage PlanningCapacity ForecastingCoverage & RF PlanningDemand ModelingGrowth & Planning Exam

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